by Jason2 Sat May 23, 2020 12:56 pm
It's an interesting idea Stuart. Should say I'm not really that strong on the Roman Empire esp at this time; I suspect Kerensky will have better insights than me.
From what I can recall, Nero tried to pay for the rebuild costs by demanding tribute and taxation from across the Empire and devaluing the currency. A military campaign could if successful have bought in the money needed in the way you suggest. I wonder though if Nero didn't feel the risk was worth it? Or perhaps he did but he was deposed what just under four years later and never had a chance to do so?
I am tempted to think he might not have wanted to take the risk. His time as emperor wasn't really one of military success. I realise that might sound a strange statement but the Boudiccan revolt wasn't exactly a great military success-yes it was put down in the end but at great loss and cost and some reports suggest Nero even considered abandoning Britain at one stage in the revolt (did he think even the mighty Roman legions couldn't save the situation?). The Parthian War had just ended and that was with a draw. On that track record, might Nero not hesitate to undertake a military campaign (or series of them) to get the money? And when you also think in 66 AD the Jewish war started, and started badly for Rome, maybe Nero really didn't have that much faith in his generals?
I also wonder if he might have been a bit reluctant to let army generals have success in case they got ideas? in the game we're a couple of months from Piso's plot being found out, I always get the feeling that from now on he is always looking over his shoulder, suspicious of anyone and everyone (or maybe even more so than before), just waiting for someone to try something. Might he not want to give a general a chance to win a brilliant military campaign and have that glory go to their head?
I wonder if Poppaea's death delayed his plans. Regardless of whether you go with the story that he killed her, or that it was a natural death, Nero does seem to have gone into mourning for her, perhaps distracting him and delaying his actions.
As to being under pressure, you'd think he would be but it's odd, the records seem to suggest when he was disposed the mob in Rome wasn't exactly overjoyed and might even have grieved for him. Of course, records are limited and all seem extremely bias (whether pro or anti-Nero) but his popularity with the masses in Rome (and I think in the eastern parts of the empire) makes me think he might not yet have felt pressure there.
Finally, I wonder if he truly felt the quickest and simplest way to get the money was via taxation? It would take time to mobilise the legions for such a campaign, and it would have taken a bit of time to work out the total cost of the building works. I know Nero came up with the rebuilding plans surprisingly quickly (and that's been used to support the idea that he was somehow behind the fire) but it would have been early 65 AD at least before they would have worked out the cost? He's then distracted by Piso's plot, his wife's death...then a few months later the Jewish War starts...does he spend time and money getting the legions elsewhere to start attacking everyone (with a time delay before any profits from the campaigns start to reach the Treasury)...or up the taxes, with immediate-ish effect? This does make me wonder about the first army revolts in 68 AD, which I think are supposed to be in reaction to Nero's tax policies...it's idle musing but maybe the army revolted because they wanted to follow Stuart's path...and Nero preferred to tax...