Stuart Bailey wrote:Looking at G7 since this was the game mentioned by Papa Clement we do currently have the Czar and his little helper in the east who seem to have worked closely and well to mutual benefit. But against this relations between the Emperor and the Electors of Saxony and Prussia were so bad that at one stage the Emperor laid siege to Dresden. Plus at one stage we had no less than x4 English positions active inc London Government, Jacobites, Hon West Indies Company and Sons of Liberty in the colonies (widely considered to be a front for Blackbeard). I am not sure if any of these players co-operated for a single month to push up their mutual honour. Some turns were more like a four way slanging match.
G10 Spain is looking a bit like this as well as we now have a player run Spain and player run Viceroy's of Flanders, Naples and Milan.
If the G10 Spanish Govt in Madrid can get this lot to line up and agree to say nice things about King ? of Spain. I think no one will mind at all if Cardinal Portocarrero ends up top of the honour list.
The parallel between G7 England and G10 Spain was bound to come up at some point.
There were also 'Orangists' and 'Defenders of England' who could be counted as English factions active around that time, so that makes 6. I don't think this really compares to Spain in G10 in a meaningful way since the English factions were much smaller (even micro) positions who survived after they became inactive because of 3rd party sponsorship. The 'London Government' was really a government in exile after 1706, but remained a plausible alternative due to UDP backing William (Son of William) as the alternative claimant. The situation was therefore much clearer than stated: only 2 sides with a tried and tested path to resolve the dispute. HWIC, Sons of Liberty, Orangists, Defenders of England may have had some local influence (mainly in the colonies), but they were never really a threat by themselves to King James - they were akin to land-based pirates interested more in plunder and spoils than taking over England. It is not the number of enemies, but their size and quality.
G10 Spain is in a much worse situation because the opposition is more organised. We have:
1. The King in exile
(King Karl), unable to rule due to his imprisonment, but championed by the
Austrian coalition, fighting to defend the Papal Judgement. Dangerous in terms of quantity, very dangerous in terms of quality, backed by superb leadership.
2. The
ex-Duke of Savoy, who is probably closest to one of the G7 factions in that nobody considers he has a claim to the crown of Spain, so is just fighting his own war over part of Italy (which unluckily for him puts him into conflict with both Austria and the Madrid government as well (if the Madrid government is to be believed in its determination to restore the lands of Spain to the situation in 1699). Quite what Savoy would do if the French did a deal with the Madrid government is unclear - presumably they would still expect to be given Milan and various other bits of Italy. That seems to be a rather unlikely dream, but stranger things have happened. Moderately dangerous in terms of quantity since they are known to control many French forces, potentially dangerous in terms of quality, but suffer severe handicaps in terms of leadership.
3. The rejected
Bourbon claimant (not sure if this is the same lot as Forbin's corsairs) who the French refer to as Viceroy of Flanders, but since Flanders is Austrian (a point agreed by King Karl), then that title would appear to be dependent upon the defeat of King Karl and the Austrians. Any Bourbon claimant who has the backing of France (or is being used as a front for French arms) is likely to be somewhat more powerful than the likes of HWIC in G7. Unknown quantity, quality, but again cursed by somewhat poor leadership (at least if the Brotherhood of Apollo is to be believed).
4. Forbin's
French corsairs - very much out for themselves, probably the closest in terms of size to the likes of HWIC, but of better quality and potentially more powerful depending on the extent of French backing. It remains to be seen if captured Spanish colonies/ships are to be handed over to either the Bourbon claimant or France, or kept to build some kind of pirate republic. Leadership is above average for those allied to France, but is handicapped by allies.
5.
France - nobody really knows what French intentions are since they do not explain, write letters or make declarations of war, simply attack anyone they feel like either directly or indirectly, whilst watching provinces defect to their more organised enemies. Dangerous in terms of quantity, potentially dangerous in terms of quality, but a joke in terms of leadership.
6. The
Doge of Genoa - as temporary Papal Viceroy of Naples and under attack by France/Savoy he may be considered part of the Austrian coalition therefore loyal to King Karl, but rather bizarrely also claims to be the Spanish Viceroy of Naples (which does seem to be a meaningless title). Quality of forces is good, but lacks quantity and is obliged to rely on others which inevitably reduces potential leadership score to a similar level as the corsairs.
7. The
Madrid government, possibly active, but somewhat hostage to circumstances and having set itself unrealistic goals which involve taking on all of the above 6 factions, the 2 main ones (Team France and Team Austria) being far more powerful than Spain. Believed to still have sizeable armed forces, but not necessarily the means to pay them; quality is unknown since I can't remember them doing anything other than defecting or surrendering, possibly because leadership is disunited with different nobles being prepared to stand by King Karl while the majority (perhaps wisely) have disappeared off to the beach to bury their heads in the sand until it is all over. It would be unkind to rate leadership as anything other than n/a.
And I haven't even considered other nations who may be waiting on the sidelines to join in once they can see who will win.
The equivalent for G7 England would have been if King James picked a fight with Spain, Russia and France whilst held hostage by UDP. If G10 Spain is being played then I have every sympathy for the player, but I only see one way forward for him.
This is not a simple 2-way fight (France vs Austria with the winner taking Spain). It is complicated by Savoy and the Madrid government among others.
If Austria defeats France then France could still fight on through the Corsairs, the rejected Bourbon claimant and Savoy (at least as long as France continues to provide the means for them to do so), and having defeated them, Austria must convince the Madrid government to accept King Karl (again). Depending on the situation at the time, this could be as easy as firing the ministers who are not loyal to King Karl and replacing them with those who are. So although Austria faces a difficult military challenge, politically the path is relatively easy.
The situation is harder for team France, for if France defeats Austria she faces the problem that Karl (if he is still alive) is still King of Spain and a significant proportion of the population of Spain will not give him up. Napoleon may have been able to place a puppet king on the throne of Spain, but the Spanish people never let him rule and he was driven out. A further problem for France is that if France did conquer Spain, it is likely to encourage many other nations to join in against France to stop the crowns being united. Not even France can fight everyone and the longer her fight against Austria takes the weaker she will be. If England in G7 had not been at war for a decade, she would have been much stronger now and not have as much catching up to do compared to other large nations. Strategically France may well be trapped in a war she cannot win, which will sap her strength and leave her so vulnerable that we may not be discussing the future of Spain in G10, but the future of France.